Ngokutsho kwemithombo yeendaba zangaphandle magneticsmag - Adamas Intelligence, ingxelo yonyaka yakutshanje "i-2040 Rare Earth Magnet Market Outlook" ikhutshwe. Le ngxelo iphonononga ngokunzulu nangokunzulu imarike yehlabathi yeemagnethi ezisisigxina ze-neodymium iron boron kunye nezinto zazo ezinqabileyo zomhlaba.
Emva kokunyuka kwemfuno enokwenzeka ngo-2021, enye imfuno ecinezelweyo kunyaka ophelileyo yaphunyezwa. Ngokutsho kwe-Adamas Intelligence, ukusetyenziswa kwehlabathi jikelele kwemagnethi ye-iron boron ye-neodymium ngo-2022 kunyuke nge-1.9% kuphela unyaka nonyaka ngenxa yentloko yezoqoqosho kunye nemingeni enxulumene nobhubhane wengingqi.
Nangona kunjalo, abahlalutyi babo baqikelela ukuba imfuno yehlabathi ye-neodymium iron boron magnets iya kukhula ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka esiyi-7.5% ukusuka ngo-2023 ukuya ku-2040, siqhutywa kukukhula okuphindwe kabini kumashishini ombane kunye namandla omoya, okuya kuthi kuguqulelwe kwimfuno eyongeziweyo yezitshixo.izinto zomhlaba ezinqabileyoequlethwe kwiimagnethi ezifana neodymium, i-dysprosium, kunye ne-terbium.
Kwangelo xesha linye, baqikelele ukuba imveliso yehlabathi yezi zinto iya kukhula ngesantya esicothayo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-5.2%, njengoko icala lokubonelela ngentengiso liye laya lisiba nzima ukuhambisana nemfuno ekhula ngokukhawuleza.
Iziphumo zovavanyo zilandelayo:
Imarike yemagnethi enqabileyo yomhlaba oksidi iya kukhula ngokuphindwe kahlanu ngo-2040: Ukusetyenziswa ngokupheleleyo kwemagnethiiioksidi zomhlaba ezinqabileyokulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngesantya esihlanganisiweyo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-5.2% (izinga lokukhula kwemfuno ye-7.0%), kwaye amaxabiso alindeleke ukuba akhule ngesantya esihlanganisiweyo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-3.3% ukuya kwi-5.2%. I-Adams Intelligence iqikelela ukuba ngo-2040, ixabiso lokusetyenziswa kwehlabathi lee-oxides zomhlaba ezinqabileyo zemagneti liza kunyuka ngokuphindwe kahlanu, ukusuka kwi-10.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kulo nyaka ukuya kwi-56.7 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-2040.
Kulindeleke ukuba ngo-2040, ukunikezelwa konyaka kwe-neodymium iron boron kuya kuba ngaphantsi kweetoni ze-246000. Ngenxa yonikezelo olukhulayo oluqinileyo lwezixhobo zomhlaba ezinqabileyo zomhlaba, baqikelela ukuba ngo-2030, ukunqongophala kwe-neodymium yentsimbi ye-boron alloys kunye nomgubo kuya kufikelela kwiitoni ezingama-60000 ngonyaka, kwaye ngo-2040, iya kufikelela kwiitoni ezingama-246000 ngonyaka, phantse ilingana nemveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-iron borodymi ye-iron borodymi.
Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokunqongophala kwemithombo emitsha yobonelelo lweprayimari neyesibini emva ko-2023, baqikelela ukuba ukunqongophala kwehlabathi jikelele kwe-neodymium oxide (okanye i-oxide elinganayo) unikezelo luya kunyuka luye kwiitoni ezingama-19000 ngonyaka ngo-2030 kunye neetoni ezingama-90000 ngonyaka ngo-2040, nto leyo ephantse ilingane nemveliso yehlabathi kunye neyesibini.
Ngo-2040, ukunqongophala konyakai-dysprosium oxidekwayei-terbium oxidekulindeleke ukuba ibeyi-1800 yeetoni kunye neetoni ezingama-450 ngokulandelelanayo. Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokunqongophala kwemithombo emitsha esisiseko kunye neyesibini emva kwe-2023, i-Adamas Intelligence iqikelela ukuba ngo-2040, ukunqongophala kwehlabathi jikelele.i-dysprosium oxidekwayei-terbium oxideokanye ukulingana kwe-oxide kuya kunyuka ukuya kwiitoni ze-1800 kunye neetoni ezingama-450 ngonyaka - ngokumalunga nokulingana nemveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-oxide nganye kunyaka ophelileyo.
Ixesha lokuposa: May-26-2023