Ngokutsho kwemithombo yeendaba zangaphandle magneticsmag - Adamas Intelligence, ingxelo yonyaka yakutshanje "i-2040 Rare Earth Magnet Market Outlook" ikhutshwe. Le ngxelo iphonononga ngokunzulu nangokunzulu imarike yehlabathi yeemagnethi ezisisigxina ze-neodymium iron boron kunye nezinto zazo ezinqabileyo zomhlaba.
Emva kokunyuka kwemfuno enokwenzeka ngo-2021, enye imfuno ecinezelweyo kunyaka ophelileyo yaphunyezwa. Ngokutsho kwe-Adamas Intelligence, ukusetyenziswa kwehlabathi jikelele kwemagnethi ye-iron boron ye-neodymium ngo-2022 kunyuke nge-1.9% kuphela unyaka nonyaka ngenxa yentloko yezoqoqosho kunye nemingeni enxulumene nobhubhane wengingqi.
Nangona kunjalo, abahlalutyi babo baqikelela ukuba imfuno yehlabathi ye-neodymium iron boron magnets iya kukhula ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka esiyi-7.5% ukusuka ngo-2023 ukuya ku-2040, siqhutywa kukukhula okuphindwe kabini kumashishini ombane kunye namandla omoya, okuya kuthi kuguqulelwe kwimfuno eyongeziweyo. ukwenzela isitshixoizinto zomhlaba ezinqabileyoequlethwe kwiimagnethi ezifana neodymium, dysprosium, kunye neterbium.
Kwangelo xesha linye, baqikelele ukuba imveliso yehlabathi yezi zinto iya kukhula ngesantya esicothayo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-5.2%, njengoko icala lokubonelela ngentengiso liye laya lisiba nzima ukuhambisana nemfuno ekhula ngokukhawuleza.
Iziphumo zovavanyo zilandelayo:
Imarike yemagnethi enqabileyo yomhlaba oksidi iya kukhula ngokuphindwe kahlanu ngo-2040: Ukusetyenziswa ngokupheleleyo kwemagnethiiioksidi zomhlaba ezinqabileyokulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngesantya esihlanganisiweyo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-5.2% (izinga lokukhula kwemfuno ye-7.0%), kwaye amaxabiso alindeleke ukuba akhule ngesantya esihlanganisiweyo sonyaka sokukhula kwe-3.3% ukuya kwi-5.2%. I-Adams Intelligence iqikelela ukuba ngo-2040, ixabiso lokusetyenziswa kwehlabathi lee-oxides zomhlaba ezinqabileyo zemagneti liza kunyuka ngokuphindwe kahlanu, ukusuka kwi-10.8 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kulo nyaka ukuya kwi-56.7 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngo-2040.
Kulindeleke ukuba ngo-2040, ukunikezelwa konyaka kwe-neodymium iron boron kuya kuba ngaphantsi kweetoni ze-246000. Ngenxa yonikezelo olukhulayo lwezixhobo zemagnethi ezinqabileyo zomhlaba, baqikelela ukuba ngo-2030, ukunqongophala kwehlabathi jikelele kwe-neodymium iron boron alloys kunye nomgubo kuya kufikelela kwiitoni ezingama-60000 ngonyaka, kwaye ngo-2040, iya kufikelela kwiitoni ezingama-246000 ngonyaka, phantse ilingane. kwimveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-neodymium iron boron alloys kunye nomgubo kulo nyaka uphelileyo.
Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokungabikho kwemithombo emitsha yokubonelela ngeprayimari kunye neyesibini emva kwe-2023, baqikelela ukuba ukunqongophala kwehlabathi jikelele kwe-neodymium oxide (okanye i-oxide elinganayo) ukubonelela kuya kunyuka ukuya kwiitoni ze-19000 ngonyaka ngo-2030 kunye ne-90000 yeetoni ngonyaka ngo-2040, oko kukuthi. ilingana nemveliso yonyaka ophelileyo yehlabathi jikelele.
Ngo-2040, ukunqongophala konyakai-dysprosium oxidekwayei-terbium oxidekulindeleke ukuba ibeyi-1800 yeetoni kunye neetoni ezingama-450 ngokulandelelanayo. Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokunqongophala kwemithombo emitsha esisiseko kunye neyesibini emva kwe-2023, i-Adamas Intelligence iqikelela ukuba ngo-2040, ukunqongophala kwehlabathi jikelele.i-dysprosium oxidekwayei-terbium oxideokanye ukulingana kwe-oxide kuya kunyuka ukuya kwiitoni ze-1800 kunye neetoni ezingama-450 ngonyaka - ngokumalunga nokulingana nemveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-oxide nganye kunyaka ophelileyo.
Ixesha lokuposa: May-26-2023